|
Total crude oil and petroleum products stocks surged +8.92 mmb to 1139.31 mmb in the week ended August 20. This is the biggest increase in 4 weeks. Crude oil inventory rose for the first time in 4 weeks, by +4.11 mmb, to 358.28 mmb and was mainly driven by the build in the Gulf Coast. Although Cushing stock dropped -0.78 mmb, to 36.26 mmb, it fails to provide any boost to the sentiment. Utilization rate slipped to 87.7%, the lowest level since May 28.
Stockpiles for oil products rose with gasoline adding +2.27 mmb to 225.62 mmb and distillate gaining +1.76 mmb to 175.97 mmb. For gasoline, demand contracted 0.89% to 9.38M bpd, production increased +1.83% to 9.62M bpd and imported jumped +30.68% to 1.41M bpd, offsetting the +8.06% gain in the prior week, distillate demand dropped -1.25% to 3.63M bpd. Production also rose +3.63% to 4.39M bpd but imports fell -37.31% to 0.16M bpd.
WTI crude oil price plummeted to a 11-week low of 70.76 after the report. Indeed, the selloff accelerated as the US reported another set of weaker-than-expected economic data. Durable goods orders climbed +0.3% m/m in July while the market had anticipated a +3% gain. Excluding transportation, the reading slumped -3.8%, compared with consensus of a +0.5% increased. New home sales declined -16.36% to a record low of 276K in July.
| Weekly change in inventory as of 20/08/10 |
Actual |
Change |
Market Expectation |
Previous |
| Crude oil |
358.28 mmb |
+4.11 mmb |
+0.30 mmb |
-0.82 mmb |
| Gasoline |
225.62 mmb |
+2.27 mmb |
-0.45 mmb |
-0.04 mmb |
| Distillate |
175.97 mmb |
+1.76 mmb |
+1.00 mmb |
+1.07 mmb |
Comparison between API and EIA reports:
|
|
API (Aug 20) |
|
|
EIA (Aug 20) |
|
|
Actual |
Inventory |
Previous |
|
Forecast (using API's inventory level) |
Inventory |
Crude oil |
-1.85 mmb |
356.76 mmb |
+5.87 mmb |
|
|
357 mmb |
Gasoline |
+1.88 mmb |
227.42 mmb |
+2.03 mmb |
|
+4.07 mmb |
227 mmb |
Distillate |
+0.69 mmb |
168.40 mmb |
+2.00 mmb |
|
-5.81 mmb |
168 mmb |
API collects stockpile information on a voluntary basis from operators of refineries, 76% of the time, using data in the past 4 years.
Source: Bloomberg, API, EIA




|